Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (99-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Sessions * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 38 | 8-23 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 36 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Christian Eyenga * | 27 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Manny Harris * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 26 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 19 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter