Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.0% | 32.0% | -4.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -13 (100-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeJuan Blair * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 11-17 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 28 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| George Hill * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 12 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| James Anderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beno Udrih * | 40 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 39 | 9-20 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Darnell Jackson * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Pooh Jeter * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Donte Greene * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
* = starter