Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.4% | 43.6% | -1.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -4 (107-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 42 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 21 | - |
| James Harden * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 34 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 29 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Channing Frye * | 40 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 34 | 11-21 | 6-12 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 22 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 12 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Zabian Dowdell * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter