Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -4 (97-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Chandler * | 37 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 37 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 9-14 | 1-1 | 10-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 30 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 26 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 39 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 33 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Semih Erden * | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter