Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -12 (97-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 40 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 8-20 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 20 | - |
| LeBron James * | 36 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Eddie House * | 20 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 19 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 16 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| James Jones | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Erick Dampier | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 44 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 42 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 42 | 9-19 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 38 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Brown * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sherron Collins * | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Dominic McGuire | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter