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2011-02-03

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 71.8% 28.2% -
Bradley-Terry 60.7% 39.3% -
Margin 61.5% 38.5% -2.6 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -1 (88-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Manu Ginobili * 36 5-17 1-5 3-3 5 8 0 1 3 14 8 -
Richard Jefferson * 36 7-12 4-8 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 18 8 -
Tony Parker * 35 9-17 0-0 3-3 4 2 1 0 1 21 10 -
Tim Duncan * 33 3-12 0-0 2-4 8 3 0 2 1 8 8 -
Antonio McDyess * 29 3-10 0-0 2-2 8 5 0 1 1 8 11 -
George Hill * 25 2-6 1-2 3-5 3 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
DeJuan Blair * 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 3 0 2 6 5 -
Gary Neal * 14 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Tiago Splitter * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Metta World Peace * 40 6-11 0-4 1-4 5 0 2 0 2 13 7 -
Pau Gasol * 35 8-10 0-0 3-4 7 2 1 0 2 19 17 -
Kobe Bryant * 35 5-18 0-3 6-6 9 10 0 0 3 16 14 -
Lamar Odom * 31 5-11 1-1 5-5 6 3 1 1 1 16 15 -
Andrew Bynum * 29 4-7 0-0 2-2 10 6 0 3 2 10 20 -
Steve Blake * 27 2-8 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
Derek Fisher * 23 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 2 2 -
Shannon Brown * 17 3-10 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 7 -2 -

* = starter