Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -4 (100-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 17-25 | 3-5 | 14-17 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 44 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 37 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Eddie House * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Jones * | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 48 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-13 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 30 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 17 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 16 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Earl Clark | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter