Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +19 (109-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 41 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 40 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 36 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 27 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Patty Mills * | 11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sean Marks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 37 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 31 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 31 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| JR Smith * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gary Forbes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shelden Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter