Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +13 (100-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Johnson * | 40 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 38 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 30 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Julian Wright * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Trey Johnson * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 40 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 39 | 15-21 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 24 | - |
| Al Horford * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 25 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter