Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +13 (99-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| George Hill * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 32 | 6-18 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 25 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 16 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| James Anderson | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Larry Owens | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 43 | 16-23 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 32 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 39 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 4 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 35 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 23 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Patty Mills * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter