Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (102-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 41 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 38 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 38 | 4-17 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Nick Young * | 37 | 6-20 | 0-3 | 6-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Jianlian Yi * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Al Thornton * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 35 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 24 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 32 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 31 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-14 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 22 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter