Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✓ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +27 (117-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Hickson * | 33 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Manny Harris * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 29 | 7-20 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Christian Eyenga * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Samardo Samuels * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 13-21 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 24 | - |
| LeBron James * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 27 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Eddie House * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 18 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| James Jones * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Erick Dampier | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter