Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -5 (103-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 13-22 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 14 | - |
| LeBron James * | 40 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 7-11 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 35 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Eddie House * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| James Jones | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 44 | 10-21 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 7-20 | 3-5 | 16-19 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 25 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 7-22 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 31 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| James Harden * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter