Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +13 (108-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Scola * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 23 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 23 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Terrence Williams | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeJuan Blair * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 31 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 29 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| George Hill * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| James Anderson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Larry Owens | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter