Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +11 (102-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 41 | 13-24 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Al Horford * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jason Collins | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 32 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 27 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter