Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +17 (88-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 30 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 26 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Semih Erden | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Luke Harangody | 4 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Carter * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 30 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter