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2011-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 โœ“ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 38.2% 61.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Bulls +9 (99-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 42 14-20 0-0 12-16 15 2 4 3 3 40 41 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 36 2-12 0-4 1-2 3 5 0 0 1 5 0 -
JJ Redick * 32 3-6 1-2 1-2 1 2 0 1 1 8 5 -
Gilbert Arenas * 31 5-13 0-3 1-1 3 3 1 1 4 11 2 -
Jason Richardson * 31 2-8 2-5 2-2 7 5 1 1 1 8 13 -
Brandon Bass * 25 4-9 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
Ryan Anderson * 19 2-8 2-7 3-3 4 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
Jameer Nelson * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
Chris Duhon 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Quentin Richardson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 38 9-16 2-4 6-8 8 2 2 0 0 26 22 -
Derrick Rose * 37 6-21 2-6 8-8 6 12 0 0 2 22 17 -
Carlos Boozer * 33 8-17 0-0 0-1 16 4 0 0 3 16 16 -
Ronnie Brewer * 25 4-7 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 0 0 9 9 -
Kurt Thomas * 25 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 2 4 -
Taj Gibson * 16 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 2 1 0 7 12 -
Omer Asik * 16 1-3 0-0 0-2 6 0 2 0 2 2 5 -
Keith Bogans * 15 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
C.J. Watson * 10 0-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Kyle Korver 19 2-7 2-4 1-1 1 2 0 0 1 7 2 -

* = starter