Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +1 (88-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Daye * | 42 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 38 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 38 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 38 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 22 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 44 | 15-25 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 31 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 41 | 4-12 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| James Jones * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House * | 27 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter