Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (111-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martin * | 34 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 11-12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 33 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 33 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 28 | 14-21 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 25 | 2-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 26 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 24 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 22 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter