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2011-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% -
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% -
Margin 54.9% 45.1% -1.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -

Actual: New York Knicks +5 (93-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 42 7-24 0-2 10-12 11 5 2 2 4 24 16 -
Dwyane Wade * 40 14-22 0-2 6-14 16 5 1 0 6 34 28 -
Mario Chalmers * 36 1-4 0-3 5-5 2 1 2 0 1 7 7 -
Joel Anthony * 35 3-5 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 2 0 8 11 -
James Jones * 30 5-9 5-8 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 15 12 -
Mike Miller * 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 1 2 0 3 -
Carlos Arroyo * 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Erick Dampier * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Juwan Howard * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Eddie House 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Landry Fields * 40 6-11 3-6 4-4 13 6 0 0 2 19 25 -
Amar'e Stoudemire * 38 10-17 1-1 3-4 8 4 2 1 1 24 21 -
Raymond Felton * 37 1-6 0-4 4-4 3 7 2 0 3 6 9 -
Danilo Gallinari * 31 5-15 3-7 7-10 4 2 0 0 2 20 9 -
Wilson Chandler * 29 3-14 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 7 -2 -
Shawne Williams * 27 4-11 1-4 2-2 6 0 1 0 0 11 7 -
Toney Douglas * 20 1-6 1-5 2-2 4 3 2 0 2 5 6 -
Ronny Turiaf * 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 1 4 -
Henry Walker * 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter