Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -7 (105-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 37 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 35 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| George Hill * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 41 | 16-24 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 25 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 37 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 35 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 34 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Evans * | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gordon Hayward | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter