Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | -1.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (100-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 39 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 37 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 36 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 32 | 9-16 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| JR Smith * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 21 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 15 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| DaJuan Summers | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter