Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✗ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -15 (96-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 39 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 36 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 22 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 21 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Quentin Richardson | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chris Duhon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 40 | 6-19 | 3-11 | 12-13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 36 | 10-18 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Paul George * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| James Posey * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| AJ Price * | 11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Rush | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter