Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -11 (109-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 39 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 34 | 8-20 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 26 | 7-12 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 26 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Young * | 41 | 10-19 | 0-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 38 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 26 | - |
| John Wall * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 34 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Al Thornton * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Mustafa Shakur * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jianlian Yi * | 12 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter