Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -11 (102-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 31 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 7-11 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| George Hill * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 26 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Larry Owens | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 43 | 10-26 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 4 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 41 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 28 | - |
| David Lee * | 38 | 13-19 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 25 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Acie Law * | 9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter