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2011-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 44.6% 55.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Margin 31.1% 68.9% +4.4 โœ“ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +10 (105-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jared Dudley * 37 8-15 1-4 6-7 7 1 0 0 0 23 16 -
Channing Frye * 32 3-7 2-4 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 10 9 -
Grant Hill * 31 6-12 0-1 1-2 1 5 2 0 2 13 7 -
Steve Nash * 29 7-11 2-4 1-1 3 9 0 0 5 17 13 -
Vince Carter * 21 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -3 -
Josh Childress * 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 2 1 -
Goran Dragic * 18 6-8 0-1 0-0 1 3 3 0 4 12 7 -
Robin Lopez * 14 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Mickael Pietrus * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
Hakim Warrick * 12 4-6 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
Marcin Gortat * 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thaddeus Young * 32 11-17 0-0 2-2 7 5 2 0 0 24 21 -
Evan Turner * 32 6-10 0-1 2-2 8 5 0 1 1 14 17 -
Andre Iguodala * 31 3-9 0-2 2-2 2 3 2 1 2 8 5 -
Jrue Holiday * 31 4-9 0-1 0-0 3 8 6 0 4 8 12 -
Elton Brand * 27 10-15 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 0 2 22 14 -
Lou Williams * 26 5-9 2-4 2-2 2 6 0 1 0 14 14 -
Jodie Meeks * 26 2-5 1-4 4-4 4 1 2 0 2 9 9 -
Andres Nocioni * 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Marreese Speights * 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
Spencer Hawes * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter