Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -7 (96-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 35 | 8-19 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 34 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 33 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 21 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 14 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jason Maxiell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 39 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 26 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter