Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +14 (121-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 30 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 20 | - |
| AJ Price * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Paul George * | 26 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 21 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 21 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 20 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| James Posey * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 32 | 14-27 | 6-8 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 19 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| JR Smith * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 23 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 18 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shelden Williams | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Gary Forbes | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter