Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.3% | 37.7% | -2.8 | ✗ (26.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +24 (96-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Neal * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 22 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| George Hill * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Larry Owens * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emeka Okafor * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| David West * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 25 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 23 | 7-10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 20 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| DJ Mbenga * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Willie Green * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Andersen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter