Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (120-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Bargnani * | 41 | 10-24 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 6 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 41 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 13-25 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 10 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Julian Wright * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Sundiata Gaines * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 14-29 | 1-3 | 9-14 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 28 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 35 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 32 | 12-20 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 23 | - |
| Eddie House * | 28 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| James Jones * | 27 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter