Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | -0.1 | ✗ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +1 (75-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 37 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 33 | 3-14 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 29 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 39 | 8-19 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 29 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter