Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +5 (82-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 37 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 29 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Rose * | 43 | 9-28 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 40 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 16 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
* = starter