Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +5 (112-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 6-18 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| James Harden * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 12 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 37 | 12-25 | 0-2 | 11-14 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 22 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 33 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 32 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| JR Smith * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 21 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter