Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (109-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 36 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 35 | 10-18 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 28 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Devin Ebanks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derrick Caracter | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 30 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 24 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter