Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (104-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 41 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 37 | 6-20 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Julian Wright * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Sundiata Gaines * | 11 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Joey Dorsey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Ginobili * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 14-14 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 18 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 34 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| George Hill * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 21 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Larry Owens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter