Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +1 (103-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 49 | 8-23 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 41 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 40 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 39 | 9-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Sam Young * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 47 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| David West * | 44 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 43 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 41 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 22 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Willie Green * | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter