Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +14 (103-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 35 | 0-7 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 10-17 | 4-7 | 8-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 22 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dominique Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Monroe * | 40 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 33 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 22 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| DaJuan Summers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter