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2011-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 67.8% 32.2% -
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% -
Margin 51.8% 48.2% -0.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +4 (85-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrea Bargnani * 41 4-17 1-7 2-3 4 1 1 1 2 11 -1 -
DeMar DeRozan * 38 8-18 0-0 7-9 3 0 0 0 2 23 6 -
Jose Calderon * 38 0-5 0-1 0-0 5 13 0 0 7 0 6 -
Ed Davis * 30 5-8 0-0 1-1 12 0 0 2 0 11 17 -
Amir Johnson * 30 8-12 0-1 1-1 8 1 3 2 2 17 17 -
Julian Wright * 27 5-8 0-0 1-3 6 0 1 0 1 11 9 -
Sundiata Gaines * 23 3-6 1-4 0-1 2 6 0 1 2 7 8 -
Joey Dorsey * 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 4 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David West * 38 10-18 0-0 3-4 10 2 2 2 2 23 19 -
Emeka Okafor * 37 8-12 0-0 1-3 16 0 0 1 3 17 19 -
Trevor Ariza * 34 2-8 1-3 0-0 7 3 0 0 1 5 6 -
Chris Paul * 30 1-8 0-2 4-4 3 11 3 0 0 6 15 -
Jarrett Jack * 26 7-13 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 3 17 6 -
Willie Green * 17 3-10 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 6 0 -
Marcus Thornton * 16 2-10 0-0 4-4 2 0 1 0 1 8 0 -
Marco Belinelli * 15 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -
Jason Smith * 12 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Quincy Pondexter * 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
David Andersen * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter