Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +13 (110-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 35 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| JR Smith * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 22 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Gary Forbes | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 22 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 33 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 11-15 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 25 | - |
| George Hill * | 30 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 24 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Larry Owens | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter