Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +19 (89-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 26 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 22 | 3-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 21 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 14 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Dominique Jones * | 14 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 42 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 35 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Sam Young * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 26 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter