Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +3 (99-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Anthony * | 38 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 10-20 | 4-7 | 9-13 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 25 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 30 | 7-18 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 29 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Eddie House * | 24 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| James Jones * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Rose * | 42 | 12-27 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 20 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 13 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter