Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.1% | 46.9% | -0.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -6 (106-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Scola * | 35 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 28 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 44 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 39 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 37 | 11-24 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 31 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 25 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter