Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +12 (101-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 26 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 22 | 3-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Dominique Jones | 13 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeJuan Blair * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| George Hill * | 27 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 25 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 25 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter