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2011-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 61.1% 38.9% -
Bradley-Terry 32.4% 67.6% -
Margin 24.7% 75.3% +6.1 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -6 (95-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Greg Monroe * 37 6-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 1 0 12 14 -
Tracy McGrady * 35 8-17 2-3 4-5 4 5 0 0 3 22 11 -
Tayshaun Prince * 34 4-12 1-1 0-1 6 1 0 2 0 9 6 -
Chris Wilcox * 29 2-9 0-0 0-2 12 0 2 0 0 4 9 -
Charlie Villanueva * 27 5-11 2-4 4-4 8 1 2 0 0 16 16 -
Rodney Stuckey * 24 5-9 0-1 9-12 1 1 0 0 2 19 10 -
Ben Gordon * 24 4-8 1-4 2-2 1 4 0 0 2 11 6 -
Austin Daye * 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 1 1 2 6 -
Will Bynum * 12 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 6 4 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jose Calderon * 36 5-10 1-4 0-0 1 13 0 1 2 11 14 -
Andrea Bargnani * 34 12-25 0-2 7-9 9 3 1 1 0 31 20 -
Linas Kleiza * 33 5-13 2-5 1-2 5 0 1 0 0 13 6 -
DeMar DeRozan * 32 6-11 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 2 15 7 -
Amir Johnson * 31 3-5 0-0 1-2 10 3 0 0 2 7 13 -
Julian Wright * 20 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 7 7 -
Ed Davis * 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 2 0 6 14 -
Jerryd Bayless * 11 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 3 0 -
Joey Dorsey * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 0 2 -
Leandro Barbosa * 9 1-4 0-3 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter