Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | -0.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -7 (84-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| George Hill * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 31 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 29 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bogut * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| John Salmons * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 27 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Chris Douglas-Roberts * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 20 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 18 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jon Brockman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter