Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -3 (101-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 41 | 3-15 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Al Horford * | 37 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 36 | 10-20 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 6 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 35 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 33 | 12-23 | 4-11 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 18 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Josh Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Bargnani * | 39 | 12-22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 6 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 36 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 30 | 11-16 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Joey Dorsey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter