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2011-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 68.0% 32.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 75.7% 24.3% - โœ—
Margin 77.4% 22.6% -6.8 โœ— (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 60.6% 39.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 81.0% 19.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 80.2% 19.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 65.0% 35.0% - โœ—

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +5 (96-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 36 8-12 2-6 4-5 2 3 0 0 1 22 14 -
Derrick Rose * 35 5-17 0-1 7-7 2 7 1 1 4 17 7 -
Kurt Thomas * 34 4-6 0-0 1-2 7 4 0 1 1 9 14 -
Carlos Boozer * 33 10-15 0-0 3-4 14 0 1 0 2 23 21 -
Ronnie Brewer * 32 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 3 2 0 2 3 8 -
Taj Gibson * 18 1-6 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 1 1 4 1 -
Kyle Korver * 16 2-2 2-2 3-3 3 3 0 1 0 9 14 -
Keith Bogans * 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
C.J. Watson * 12 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 2 0 -
Omer Asik * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Jackson * 42 6-17 0-5 4-6 4 3 1 1 1 16 7 -
Gerald Wallace * 40 5-11 2-5 2-2 7 0 1 2 0 14 13 -
D.J. Augustin * 38 6-12 2-5 8-9 3 12 0 0 1 22 24 -
Boris Diaw * 32 5-11 2-5 1-1 5 5 2 1 1 13 14 -
Tyrus Thomas * 29 7-14 0-0 3-5 13 2 0 2 3 17 17 -
Kwame Brown * 21 4-5 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 1 10 9 -
Gerald Henderson * 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Shaun Livingston * 10 1-5 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 2 -1 -
Matt Carroll 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
Dominic McGuire 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter