Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (28.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +34 (132-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Channing Frye * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 23 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 14 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Zabian Dowdell * | 12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Garret Siler | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 38 | 11-14 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 30 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 31 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 8-10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - |
| JR Smith * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gary Forbes | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shelden Williams | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter