Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | -2.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -11 (96-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 36 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 30 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 29 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| George Hill * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 25 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Love * | 41 | 7-20 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 26 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 25 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 16 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jonny Flynn * | 14 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter