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2011-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 35.0% 65.0% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 45.7% 54.3% +0.9 (24.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +25 (110-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Bogut * 30 10-17 0-0 1-1 13 1 1 1 2 21 18 -
John Salmons * 30 4-10 0-2 2-3 1 4 0 1 0 10 6 -
Brandon Jennings * 28 1-8 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 4 -3 -
Carlos Delfino * 27 6-10 1-4 0-0 2 2 3 0 1 13 9 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 26 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 2 2 1 -
Corey Maggette * 17 4-6 1-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 11 7 -
Earl Barron * 15 4-10 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 8 6 -
Chris Douglas-Roberts * 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
Keyon Dooling * 13 1-4 1-2 0-1 0 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
Jon Brockman * 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Larry Sanders * 11 1-5 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Earl Boykins 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 2 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 34 13-19 6-9 4-4 5 2 1 1 2 36 24 -
Al Horford * 31 7-12 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 1 2 15 10 -
Josh Smith * 30 8-12 0-2 1-1 14 4 1 4 4 17 24 -
Jeff Teague * 27 2-9 2-2 0-0 5 6 0 0 2 6 6 -
Jamal Crawford * 26 1-4 1-4 1-1 1 8 1 0 3 4 7 -
Kirk Hinrich * 25 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 6 8 -
Marvin Williams * 23 7-9 2-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 16 10 -
Zaza Pachulia * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 2 -
Damien Wilkins 10 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
Jason Collins 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
Josh Powell 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Hilton Armstrong 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 4 5 -

* = starter